Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 5.256178 6.136029 7.084469 8.178924 9.402983 10.725778 12.259214
2025-03-23 3.985186 5.164919 6.539039 8.241492 10.276837 12.614587 15.484100
2025-03-30 3.005346 4.312010 5.950367 8.116816 10.864386 14.189541 18.470402
2025-04-06 2.180757 3.473853 5.219846 7.679203 10.976070 15.161036 20.782612
2025-04-13 1.580533 2.801079 4.575277 7.230934 10.979924 15.949753 22.882496
2025-04-20 1.321889 2.565220 4.486932 7.507842 11.949211 18.036287 26.772722
2025-04-27 1.189763 2.497564 4.627078 8.113203 13.409965 20.864450 31.805163
2025-05-04 1.050137 2.384945 4.672748 8.566833 14.669890 23.473318 36.661488
2025-05-11 0.866661 2.150379 4.478579 8.611281 15.304206 25.209291 40.364226
2025-05-18 0.680229 1.862776 4.143850 8.377603 15.472448 26.252251 43.102004
2025-05-25 0.536889 1.625053 3.856311 8.179885 15.663355 27.315947 45.892367
2025-06-01 0.435748 1.452620 3.661220 8.113690 16.048341 28.675980 49.158934
2025-06-08 0.343216 1.275915 3.434252 7.974409 16.318120 29.901701 52.332431
2025-06-15 0.309323 1.243934 3.505497 8.404355 17.597248 32.793050 58.186052
2025-06-22 0.257531 1.143963 3.410933 8.499467 18.289998 34.768495 62.692535
2025-06-29 0.192180 0.974757 3.124871 8.173305 18.193145 35.435452 65.154855
2025-07-06 0.138384 0.815093 2.825213 7.775118 17.921096 35.780775 67.099037
2025-07-13 0.122936 0.790894 2.865718 8.113004 19.061274 38.572920 73.108362
2025-07-20 0.120241 0.818479 3.049128 8.784517 20.882498 42.606493 81.276232
2025-07-27 0.111758 0.817636 3.153718 9.284858 22.392861 46.149536 88.731424
2025-08-03 0.091983 0.754548 3.070595 9.342605 23.026897 48.174558 93.717401
2025-08-10 0.069052 0.659000 2.870640 9.099338 23.033840 49.079064 96.841950
2025-08-17 0.051738 0.578237 2.695490 8.891730 23.092495 50.068238 100.128139